Southern Cone

Monthly political risk, economic forecasts and business environment analysis on each country market

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Southern Cone

Latest Southern Cone Analysis

Political Risk Analysis - V?zquez Still Most Likely Successor To Presidency - SEPT 2014

We maintain our view that the ruling Frente Amplio party will retain the presidency following the general election scheduled for October, with former president Tabaré Vázquez at the helm. Vázquez won his primary decisively in June, and we believe that while opposition support is on the rise, it will remain too fractured to mount an effective challenge. We expect broad...

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Risk Summary - Paraguay - SEPT 2014

Paraguay's score in our proprietary Short-Term Political Risk Ratings places it just under the regional average of 59.7 out of 100. Disputes with neighbours over shared power resources and sporadic...

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Risk Summary - Argentina - SEPT 2014

Argentina's weak score in our proprietary Short-Term Political Risk Rating stems from a very low score in the 'Social Stability' component of the rating. The country scores just 32.5 out of 100 in...

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Risk Summary - Chile - SEPT 2014

Despite the challenges posed by slowing economic growth, our core view is that Chile will remain the benchmark for political stability in Latin America in the coming years. The country places first...

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Risk Summary - Uruguay - SEPT 2014

Uruguay boasts well-developed democratic institutions and a history of social stability which we believe will persist over the coming quarters, offsetting any potential political uncertainty stemmi...

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