Southern Cone

Monthly political risk, economic forecasts and business environment analysis on each country market

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Southern Cone

Latest Southern Cone Analysis

Risk Summary - Argentina - MAR 2015

Argentina's weak score in our proprietary Short-Term Political Risk Index stems from a very low score in the 'Social Stability' component of the index. The country scores just 32.5 out of 100 in this area due to double-digit inflation and social unrest, although these two factors are mitigated somewhat by just moderate unemployment. We expect political risk to remain elevated in 2015, given...

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Risk Summary - Chile - MAR 2015

Despite the challenges posed by weak economic growth, our core view is that Chile will remain the benchmark for political stability in Latin America in the coming years. The country's first place...

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Risk Summary - Uruguay - MAR 2015

Uruguay boasts well-developed democratic institutions and a history of social stability which we believe will persist over the coming quarters, offsetting potential political uncertainty stemming...

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Risk Summary - Paraguay - MAR 2015

Politically, Paraguay falls in the middle of the pack of Latin American countries in our Short-Term Political Risk Index placing ninth out of 17 countries. The only sub-index which Paraguay rates...

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