Mexico

Monthly political risk, economic forecasts and business environment analysis 

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Mexico

Latest Mexico Analysis

Risk Summary - Mexico - JULY 2014

The average unemployment rate in all of Latin America's largest economies except Mexico and Colombia will either remain the same or rise in 2014 as weaker economic activity results in a moderate deterioration in the labour market.

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Risk Summary - Mexico - JULY 2014

On May 18, Gustavo Madero won re-election as leader of Mexico's largest centre-right opposition party, the Partido Acción Nacional (PAN). Madero was a major proponent of his party's pro-refo...

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Data Release - Mexico - JULY 2014

Mexico's Q114 real GDP growth came in at 1.8% year-on-year (y-o-y), up from 0.7% y-o-y in Q413, and broadly in line with our forecast for growth to accelerate to 3.3% in 2014, up from 1.1% last...

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Data Release - Mexico - JUNE 2014

Mexico's economic activity index (IGAE) grew by 1.7% year-on-year (y-o-y) in February, up from 1.0% y-o-y in January. We expect real GDP growth in Q114 to have been between 1.5% y-o-y and 2.0% y-o-...

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Risk Summary - Mexico - JUNE 2014

On April 30, the last day of Mexico's spring congressional session, President Enrique Peña Nieto sent secondary legislation for energy sector liberalisation to the senate. The bill will have...

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Risk Summary - Mexico - JUNE 2014

In recent quarters, we have begun to see Mexico take steps to diversify its crude export markets in light of reduced demand from the US. We anticipate that this will continue over the coming years....

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Industry Forecast - Credit Growth To Accelerate But Informality To Limit Banking Sector Expansion - JUNE 2014

We expect credit growth to re-accelerate in the coming quarters in Mexico driven by stronger economic activity. Furthermore, we believe that recent financial sector reform, combined with declining unemployment, will bolster consumer credit growth in particular. That said, a heavy reliance on informal channels will continue to weigh on the pace of expansion in both client loans and deposits in...

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Data Release - Mexico - MAY 2014

Mexico's economic activity index (IGAE) grew by 0.8% year-on-year (y-o-y) in January, a slower expansion than the 1.1% y-o-y seen in December. The Mexican economic recovery that began in mid-2013...

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