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Economy / Chile

Deflation Reaffirms Our Interest Rate Outlook

December 2009 | Economic Analysis

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The Chilean economy remains firmly in deflationary territory, reinforcing our belief that interest rates will remain at their current record low of 0.50% until at least H210. While we expect a robust bounce in economic activity in 2010, we note that inflation will unlikely present a major concern for monetary policymakers, and thus see only a moderate tightening cycle of 200 basis points to 2.50% by end-2010.