Political Risk

BMI View: The Bolivian political landscape remains shaky and we are becoming increasingly concerned by the marginalisation of some fragments of the government's support base.

The race between Guatemala and Venezuela for a non-permanent seat in the UN Security Council took an unexpected turn yesterday, when Bolivian President Eva Morales asserted that President... 2006-10-25

BMI View: We anticipate that the new trade deal with the US will be formally signed in the first half of 2007. If our core scenario plays out, this will further strengthen economic... 2006-10-09

BMI View :Since emerging as President Hugo Chavez's main challenger in the presidential elections scheduled for 3 December, Zulia Governor Manuel Rosales has been increasingly... 2006-10-09

Since emerging as President Hugo Chavez's main challenger in the presidential elections scheduled for 3 December, Zulia Governor Manuel Rosales has been increasingly successful in... 2006-10-02

BMI View: The interminable twists and turns of the government's peace process with the Autodefensas Unidas de Colombia (AUC) right-wing paramilitary group have left many wondering... 2006-09-11

MAS failed to win a two-thirds majority in July 2 constituent assembly elections, while voters also decided against increased regional autonomy. The assembly will keep Morales' power... 2006-07-04

The major left-wing guerrilla group, the Fuerzas Armadas Revolucionarias de Colombia (FARC) announced in June that it would commence armed operations against the smaller, Ejército... 2006-06-23

Morales announced his decision at a ceremony in Santa Cruz at which the new administration gave landless communities titles to more than 3m hectares of unused state land. While the... 2006-06-14

Relations between the US and Venezuela continue on their downward spiral. President Chávez has referred to a co-ordinated US 'plan against Venezuela,' and alluded on several occasions... 2006-06-14