Guatemala

BMI View: In contrast to elsewhere in Central America, inflation has been relatively well-behaved in Guatemala. The outturn in July was 5.6% y-o-y, down from its 7.0% peak this... 2007-09-05

BMI View: With the first round of the Guatemalan presidential election looming on September 9, the campaign is shaping up to be a two-man race. We believe that the UNE's Álvaro... 2007-08-07

With no candidate receiving much more than 20% support in public opinion polls, well shy of the 50% threshold necessary to win in the first round outright, our core view is that Guatemala's... 2007-08-02

BMI View: Real GDP growth in 2006 (4.5%) was the highest since 1998, and trends in the first five months of 2007 indicate that expansion should be strong again this year. The moving... 2007-07-30

The big surprise in the Guatemalan presidential race thus far is the lack of momentum for Rigoberta Menchú. Menchú has made several missteps in her campaign, including snubbing... 2007-07-04

BMI View Worker remittance flows to Guatemala reached a record single-month level in May of US$393mn. Despite the record outturn, the growth of remittances does appear to be slowing... 2007-07-04

BMI View: Guatemala's debt profile remains healthy, and we remain confident that the country's creditworthiness is in little danger of deteriorating over the forecast period.... 2007-06-22

BMI View: Global food prices are on the rise. This has hit Central America particularly harshly, given the heavy weighting of key agricultural goods in national price baskets. For... 2007-06-12

The results of a public opinion poll conducted in May by CID-Gallup show the Guatemalan presidential race may be opening up.

BMI View: The trade deficit for Q107 came in at US$1.45bn, according to preliminary estimates. The 12-month accumulated deficit to March is US$6.0bn, and we believe that our year-end... 2007-06-07