Political Risk

A surge in support for Movimiento Libertario candidate Otto Guevara in November (more than double his approval ratings in September), seems to have introduced an eleventh-hour game... 2009-12-08

BMI View: President Daniel Ortega has surreptitiously managed to pull off a scrapping of rules preventing his re-election in 2011, in contravention of the constitution. The supreme... 2009-12-02

BMI View: With drug-related violence in Guatemala increasingly being imported from Mexico, and the government's fiscal difficulties preventing it from increasing funding for the... 2009-12-02

BMI View: With drug-related violence in Guatemala increasingly being imported from Mexico, and the government's fiscal difficulties preventing it from increasing funding for the... 2009-12-02

While the successful election of Porfirio Lobos on November 29 is an important step towards resolving Honduras's five-month old political crisis, we caution that concerns over legitimising... 2009-12-01

The ruling left-wing Frente Farabundo Martí para la Liberación Nactional (FMLN) bloc of President Mauricio Funes received a welcome surprise in parliament in late October, when... 2009-11-04

BMI View: The stealthy return of ousted President Manuel Zelaya to Honduras has brought the country's political face-off to a head. Nevertheless, while events over the next few days... 2009-09-22

BMI View: With domestic opposition to Nicaraguan President Daniel Ortega's re-election bid building, his chances of standing again in 2012 appear to be fading rapidly. Nevertheless,... 2009-09-10

BMI View: The Honduran political crisis is likely to further impede government attempts to cushion the country's rapidly deteriorating security environment. This could, in turn,... 2009-08-25

BMI View: Given his lack of popular and congressional support, we are growing extremely concerned that efforts by Nicaraguan President Daniel Ortega to drive through constitutional... 2009-07-09