Political Risk

The latest polling data support our view that the ruling Frente Para Victoria (FpV) alliance will lose crucial ground to the opposition in June's mid-term elections, which we believe... 2009-06-04

Former guerrilla José Mujica looks set to secure the ruling Frente Amplio (FA) coalition's nomination ahead of October's presidential race, marking a shift towards more populist... 2009-06-01

The top two candidates for the ruling Frente Amplio coalition's presidential primaries, due to be held in June, ahead of October's general election, have confirmed rumours that whatever... 2009-05-05

The Argentine government is pulling out all the stops in its bid to secure a successful result at the June 28 mid-term elections. We expect President Cristina Fernández's coalition... 2009-05-01

BMI View: Having dominated the Argentine political landscape since 2003, the Kirchner-Fernández camp now looks to be slowly losing its grip on power. Plagued by rural conflicts,... 2009-03-12

The bumpy start for José Mujica's election campaign ahead of the ruling Frente Amplio coalition's primaries in June, means that former economy minister, Danilo Astori, could still... 2009-03-10

Local farming groups plan to meet to decide on how they will protest against export taxes in the face of the ongoing drought. We believe that we could see mass roadblocks and the... 2009-02-06

Although the endorsement of former Chilean president, Eduardo Frei, by most major Concertación coalition parties means the nominee can focus on December's presidential election,... 2009-01-29

In a worrying sign for Argentine political tensions, farming unions are returning to the streets to demand a reduction in agricultural taxes, as falling prices and the ongoing drought... 2009-01-16

While José Mujica has gained the majority support of Uruguay's ruling Frente Amplio (FA) coalition, we believe that another FA presidency is not guaranteed. Indeed, mounting divisions... 2008-12-22