Political Risk

While Frente Amplio candidate José Mujica has failed to secure a first-round victory in the general election held on October 25, we still expect him to succeed incumbent President... 2009-11-03

BMI View: Opposition leader Sebastián Piñera has consolidated his position as the frontrunner in Chile's upcoming presidential election, paving the way for the country's first... 2009-10-19

Uruguay's presidential election looks increasingly likely to be won by José Mujica, as the Frente Amplio's efforts to claim the centre ground appear to be bearing fruit. However,... 2009-10-15

A recent interview with presidential hopeful José Mujica has given the clearest indication to date that the ruling Frente Amplio (FA) nominee will not seek to step up government... 2009-09-15

In the run-up to the general election in October, both of the leading candidates for the presidency are battling to win over Uruguay's centre. Frente Amplio candidate José Mujica... 2009-08-28

As we have previously noted, there has been growing evidence of late to suggest that the Argentine government may be attempting to moderate economic policy. In July, the government... 2009-08-27

We remain confident that conservative opposition candidate, Sebastián Piñera, will win the presidential election in December. This should signal a break from Chile's post-Pinochet... 2009-08-03

President Cristina Fernández and her ruling Frente para Victoria bloc have suffered defeat in last Sunday's mid-term elections, in which the ruling coalition lost its majority in... 2009-06-29

We expect October's presidential election in Uruguay to produce a narrow result, which means that a second-round run off is increasingly likely. A second ballot could see opposition... 2009-06-23

President Fernando Lugo has mooted the possibility of holding a recall vote on his presidency in response to calls from the opposition Partido Colorado (PC) that he should resign... 2009-06-12