Central America
The Central America Monitor service provides subscribers with systematic political risk assessment, economic forecasts and business analysis for Costa Rica, El Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras, Nicaragua and Panama.
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El Salvador / Economy
BMI View: Until the fall in remittances starts to stabilise, it is extremely unlikely that the El Salvadoran consumer will be able to mount a meaningful recovery, such is the importance of these inflows in driving household spending. Coupled with a rise in local unemployment, we believe that private consumption will remain a major drag on headline growth in H209.
2009-07-01Costa Rica / Economy
BMI View: Heavily dependent on US demand and capital inflows, Central America's benchmark economies will not only lag their Southern peers on the recovery trail, but will also settle...
2009-06-25Guatemala / Economy
BMI View: The media frenzy surrounding President Álvaro Colom's alleged links to the murder of a Guatemalan lawyer has undoubtedly hurt the country's political risk profile - not...
2009-06-23Country Risk Rating
Honduras
President Manuel Zelaya is expected to meet with officials from the IMF in the coming months to start negotiations on a new standby loan arrangement. Honduras and Nicaragua are the...
2009-06-03Costa Rica
On 1 June Otton Solís of the main opposition Partido Acción Nacional (PAN) won the party's first ever primary election to become the party's presidential nominee for the 2010 election....
2009-06-03El Salvador
Mauricio Funes, who heads the leftwing Frente Farabundo Martí para la Liberación Nacional (FMLN), was sworn in as El Salvador's president on June 1. In his first deed in office,...
2009-06-03Guatemala
The explosive investigation of murder, labelled against current incumbent President Álvaro Colom clearly dominates our political concerns this month (see main story). Given the serious...
2009-06-03El Salvador
BMI View: Until the fall in remittances starts to stabilise, it is extremely unlikely that the El Salvadoran consumer will be able to mount a meaningful recovery, such is the importance...
2009-07-01Costa Rica
BMI View: Heavily dependent on US demand and capital inflows, Central America's benchmark economies will not only lag their Southern peers on the recovery trail, but will also settle...
2009-06-25Guatemala
BMI View: The media frenzy surrounding President Álvaro Colom's alleged links to the murder of a Guatemalan lawyer has undoubtedly hurt the country's political risk profile - not...
2009-06-23Panama
BMI View: Positive first quarter GDP growth data lent weight to our view that canal-related activity would prevent a contraction of the Panamanian economy in 2009. That said, with...
2009-06-19Costa Rica
BMI View: Although early days, we view PLN candidate Laura Chinchilla as favourite to succeed President Oscar Arias in February 2010's presidential election. Such a scenario would...
2009-06-15Nicaragua
BMI View: While large symbolic, Miskito's bid for independence highlights the deep hostility against the government in Nicaragua's northern territories. However, in the absence of...
2009-06-01Panama
BMI View: Washington's insistence that Panama lowers its financial secrecy laws is likely to prove an unpalatable request for President-elect Ricardo Martinelli. With this in mind,...
2009-05-29Panama
BMI View: The comfortable victory for Ricardo Martinelli and his centre-right alliance in May's general elections should pave the way for a smooth economic recovery in Panama beyond...
2009-05-05
