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The Central America Monitor service provides subscribers with systematic political risk assessment, economic forecasts and business analysis for Costa Rica, El Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras, Nicaragua and Panama.

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Latest Stories

El Salvador / Economy

BMI View: Until the fall in remittances starts to stabilise, it is extremely unlikely that the El Salvadoran consumer will be able to mount a meaningful recovery, such is the importance of these inflows in driving household spending. Coupled with a rise in local unemployment, we believe that private consumption will remain a major drag on headline growth in H209.

2009-07-01

Costa Rica / Economy

BMI View: Heavily dependent on US demand and capital inflows, Central America's benchmark economies will not only lag their Southern peers on the recovery trail, but will also settle... 2009-06-25


Guatemala / Economy

BMI View: The media frenzy surrounding President Álvaro Colom's alleged links to the murder of a Guatemalan lawyer has undoubtedly hurt the country's political risk profile - not... 2009-06-23


Country Risk Rating

Honduras

President Manuel Zelaya is expected to meet with officials from the IMF in the coming months to start negotiations on a new standby loan arrangement. Honduras and Nicaragua are the... 2009-06-03


Costa Rica

On 1 June Otton Solís of the main opposition Partido Acción Nacional (PAN) won the party's first ever primary election to become the party's presidential nominee for the 2010 election.... 2009-06-03


El Salvador

Mauricio Funes, who heads the leftwing Frente Farabundo Martí para la Liberación Nacional (FMLN), was sworn in as El Salvador's president on June 1. In his first deed in office,... 2009-06-03


Guatemala

The explosive investigation of murder, labelled against current incumbent President Álvaro Colom clearly dominates our political concerns this month (see main story). Given the serious... 2009-06-03

Economy

El Salvador

BMI View: Until the fall in remittances starts to stabilise, it is extremely unlikely that the El Salvadoran consumer will be able to mount a meaningful recovery, such is the importance... 2009-07-01


Costa Rica

BMI View: Heavily dependent on US demand and capital inflows, Central America's benchmark economies will not only lag their Southern peers on the recovery trail, but will also settle... 2009-06-25


Guatemala

BMI View: The media frenzy surrounding President Álvaro Colom's alleged links to the murder of a Guatemalan lawyer has undoubtedly hurt the country's political risk profile - not... 2009-06-23


Panama

BMI View: Positive first quarter GDP growth data lent weight to our view that canal-related activity would prevent a contraction of the Panamanian economy in 2009. That said, with... 2009-06-19

Political Risk

Costa Rica

BMI View: Although early days, we view PLN candidate Laura Chinchilla as favourite to succeed President Oscar Arias in February 2010's presidential election. Such a scenario would... 2009-06-15


Nicaragua

BMI View: While large symbolic, Miskito's bid for independence highlights the deep hostility against the government in Nicaragua's northern territories. However, in the absence of... 2009-06-01


Panama

BMI View: Washington's insistence that Panama lowers its financial secrecy laws is likely to prove an unpalatable request for President-elect Ricardo Martinelli. With this in mind,... 2009-05-29


Panama

BMI View: The comfortable victory for Ricardo Martinelli and his centre-right alliance in May's general elections should pave the way for a smooth economic recovery in Panama beyond... 2009-05-05

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