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The Central America Monitor service provides subscribers with systematic political risk assessment, economic forecasts and business analysis for Costa Rica, El Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras, Nicaragua and Panama.  This includes online access to the latest analysis, a 24-month searchable archive, and PDF access to the monthly Monitor reports.

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Latest Stories

Costa Rica / Economy

One of our major risks to the Costa Rican economy has been the possibility of a major slowdown in the US, and it appears that it may already be having a toll on foreign investment, following a banner year in 2007. We are not yet shifting our forecasts for the external account, however, until Q1 data emerges.

2008-04-15

Guatemala / Economy

With inflation remaining above Banguat's 7.0% upper limit, at 9.1% in March, a sense of panic is setting in, beginning with the government's proposal to use public funds to stem higher... 2008-04-15


Costa Rica / Economy

Foreign reserves increased by US$1bn in 2007 to US$4.1bn, owing to high levels of foreign direct investment (FDI) and the central bank's purchases of US dollars in order to maintain... 2008-04-15


Business & Industry

Nicaragua

BMI View: The current crisis in Nicaragua's energy sector is due to the standoff between the Spanish firm Union Fenosa and congress, but also has its origins in the lack of new... 2006-09-12


Nicaragua

BMI View: The current crisis in Nicaragua's energy sector is due to the standoff between the Spanish firm Union Fenosa and congress, but also has its origins in the lack of new... 2006-09-12


Honduras

BMI View: The government is flying in the face of the opposition from some transnational oil companies by planning to launch an international tender to buy cheaper oil, which should... 2006-09-11


Guatemala

BMI View: The changes proposed by a commission on mining rights should allow the continuation of foreign investment in an area that still has export earning potential for Guatemala.

2006-09-11
Country Risk Rating

Guatemala

A week after he was dismissed from his post by President Álvaro Colom, former Interior Ministry adviser Victor Rivera was killed in his home, by gangsters, it is suspected. Local... 2008-04-15


Guatemala

A week after he was dismissed from his post by President Álvaro Colom, former Interior Ministry adviser Victor Rivera was killed in his home, by gangsters, it is suspected. Local... 2008-04-15


Guatemala

A week after he was dismissed from his post by President Álvaro Colom, former Interior Ministry adviser Victor Rivera was killed in his home, by gangsters, it is suspected. Local... 2008-04-15


Nicaragua

Hundreds of Nicaraguans marched in the North Atlantic Autonomous Region (Raan) and the capital Managua in protest of both the supreme electoral court's decision to suspend regional... 2008-04-15

Economy

Costa Rica

One of our major risks to the Costa Rican economy has been the possibility of a major slowdown in the US, and it appears that it may already be having a toll on foreign investment,... 2008-04-15


Guatemala

With inflation remaining above Banguat's 7.0% upper limit, at 9.1% in March, a sense of panic is setting in, beginning with the government's proposal to use public funds to stem higher... 2008-04-15


Costa Rica

Foreign reserves increased by US$1bn in 2007 to US$4.1bn, owing to high levels of foreign direct investment (FDI) and the central bank's purchases of US dollars in order to maintain... 2008-04-15


El Salvador

BMI View: Remittance flows, primarily from El Salvadorans working in the US, totalled a record US$3.7bn in 2007, helping to offset a widening trade account deficit (at US$4.7bn,... 2008-04-15

Political Risk

Guatemala

President Álvaro Colom, who was inaugurated in January, is the country's first centre-leftist leader in half a century. Unfortunately, just weeks into his four-year term, he has... 2008-02-11


BMI View: Although national elections will not be held until 2009, campaigning has already begun. El Salvador's high short-term political risk rating (72.7) reflects our belief... 2007-12-04


BMI View: High imported fuel prices have pushed the Honduran government toward negotiating with Venezuela to become part of the Petrocaribe oil subsidy initiative. The move is... 2007-12-04


BMI View: In a contest that was as close as had been advertised, Álvaro Colom of the UNE beat Otto Pérez Molina of the PP in the second and decisive round of the Guatemalan... 2007-11-05

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