Political Risk

A decade since President Álvaro Uribe intensified Colombia's battle against violence, the country has experienced an improved security environment. The sharp reduction in crime Colombia... 2012-05-16

BMI View: Ecuadorean President Rafael Correa's chances of winning next year's presidential ballot - should he chose to stand for re-election - have been boosted by recent developments,... 2012-01-31

BMI View: Despite a recent cabinet shakeup, we do not see an end to Bolivia's domestic political struggles in 2012. As the government continues to pursue interventionist economic... 2012-01-24

The resignation of Bolivia's Defence and Interior ministers over the violent handling of a protest concerning the construction of a highway though an Amazon nature reserve highlights... 2011-09-28

Upticks in violence in the run-up to Colombia's regional elections highlight the ongoing potential for security issues to disrupt the country's positive economic trajectory over the... 2011-08-19

We see a bright outlook for the Colombian domestic politics over the medium term, following recent progress made in passing progressive social legislation and successes in counter-narcotic... 2011-06-14

BMI View: Ecuadorian President Rafael Correa's victory in the referendum is likely to lead to a deterioration in the country's democratic credentials. However, an improved policymaking... 2011-05-10

BMI View: We expect political risks in Venezuela to remain elevated in the run up to the presidential election in December 2012. Beyond the election, we assess four possible scenarios... 2011-04-26

BMI View: While tensions between the Colombian government and the Fuerzas Armadas Revolucionarias de Colombia (FARC) are likely to remain over the coming years, we believe that the... 2011-03-14

BMI View: We expect the issue of crime to dominate campaigning in Venezuela in the run up to the presidential election in 2012, as the country's economic problems are beginning to... 2011-03-01