FARC In Crisis

Following the rescue of Franco-Colombian Ingrid Betancourt, the FARC has lost its trump card in terms of political capital. Furthermore, the recent deaths of rebel leader Manuel Marulanda and two other senior members have decimated the group's hierarchical structure and raised considerable doubts that the organisation can be anywhere near as influential in the country's periphery. We believe it is possible that the FARC, already splintered geographically into various fronts, could break up further into separate factions, some prepared to surrender and others intent to continue the insurgency. While we note that a wounded FARC could resort to short-term desperate

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