Macroeconomic Forecast Bolivia - Latin America Monitor

Economic Prospects Amid Regional Autonomy

Economy / Bolivia Despite robust economic expansion of 4.6% seen in Bolivia in 2007, we believe that the deepening political divide poses a dangerous threat to the country's medium-term growth prospects. With the wealthier...

More Referenda Expected

Economy / Bolivia The Santa Cruz referendum on May 4 paved the way for further regional votes on the issue of autonomy. We now expect Beni, Pando and Tarija to follow suit in the coming months. President Evo Morales'...

Macroeconomic Forecast Bolivia

Economy / Bolivia The Bolivian economic growth story has thus far been relatively unaffected by the ongoing political malaise. Real GDP expanded by an impressive 4.6% in 2007, smashing our 3.5% target, thanks to the continued...

Santa Cruz Vote Deepens Divide

Political Risk / Bolivia Our negative political outlook for Bolivia remains unchanged after the province of Santa Cruz voted in favour of increased autonomy from the central government. Social unrest remains high and President...

Macroeconomic Forecast Bolivia

Economy / Bolivia Bolivia's international reserves came in at US$4.5bn in 2007, just below our initial forecast of US$5.0bn. Nonetheless, this figure marked a 74% increase from the 2006 year-end total of US$2.6bn.