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Economy / El Salvador

And Then There Were Five

February 2008 | Ratings Update

With national elections a year away, the ruling ARENA party on February 4 narrowed its list of presidential candidates to five. Of the five, Rodrigo Ávila, the former police czar, is the most likely to win, in our view - as supported by his leading position in local opinion polls. Following a few weeks of campaigning, the party will whittle the list down to three on February 29, and the final selection will take place on March 15. At that point the presidential race will be easier to assess. We maintain our view that ARENA candidate is most likely to

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