Analysis, data & forecasts on every country across the region

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The Andean Monitor service provides subscribers with systematic political risk assessment, economic forecasts and business analysis for Bolivia, Colombia, Ecuador, Peru and Venezuela.  This includes online access to the latest analysis, a 24-month searchable archive, and PDF access to the monthly Monitor reports.

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Latest Stories

Venezuela / Political Risk

With regional elections scheduled for November, we expect to see a rise in short-term political risk as President Hugo Chávez, under increased pressure from a strengthening right-wing opposition, seeks to rally round his supporters using nationalistic rhetoric. We see the progress made by the opposition parties, which have consolidated and become more moderate in an attempt to... 2008-05-16


Bolivia / Economy

Real GDP in Bolivia expanded by 4.6% in 2007, smashing our 3.5% target, thanks to the continued acceleration of private consumption and higher than anticipated investment spending.... 2008-05-14


Venezuela / Economy

Venezuelan President Hugo Chávez has claimed that his government has lost contact with the Colombian paramilitary group the Fuerzas Armadas Revolucionarias de Colombia (FARC) after... 2008-05-12


Business & Industry

Ecuador

Talks have been stalled since late March in the face of growing protests from the Confederation of Indigenous Nationalists of Ecuador (CONAIE). CONAIE's latest campaign targeted not... 2006-05-16




Country Risk Rating

Venezuela

Venezuelan President Hugo Chávez has claimed that his government has lost contact with the Colombian paramilitary group the Fuerzas Armadas Revolucionarias de Colombia (FARC) after... 2008-05-12


Ecuador

With confrontational rhetoric continuing from President Rafael Correa, suggestions of a warming of relations with neighbouring Colombia following the incursion of Colombian troops... 2008-05-12


Colombia

In a major coup for President Álvaro Uribe, Colombian authorities in the space of a week have killed Victor Manuel Munera, and captured his brother Miguel Angel Mejia Munera. With... 2008-05-12


Bolivia

The Santa Cruz referendum on May 4 paved the way for further regional votes on the issue of autonomy. We now expect Beni, Pando and Tarija to follow suit in the coming months. President... 2008-05-09

Economy

Bolivia

Real GDP in Bolivia expanded by 4.6% in 2007, smashing our 3.5% target, thanks to the continued acceleration of private consumption and higher than anticipated investment spending.... 2008-05-14


Venezuela

With oil prices hitting new highs on a weekly basis, we expect to see the Venezuelan current account perform strongly again in 2008. Equivalent to an impressive 10.5% of GDP, the... 2008-05-12


Ecuador

With its currency the US dollar, Ecuador has no monetary policy options to help address inflationary pressures and cannot benefit from currency appreciation. Consumer price inflation... 2008-05-12


Bolivia

Despite robust economic expansion of 4.6% seen in Bolivia in 2007, we believe that the deepening political divide poses a dangerous threat to the country's medium-term growth prospects.... 2008-05-12

Political Risk

Venezuela

With regional elections scheduled for November, we expect to see a rise in short-term political risk as President Hugo Chávez, under increased pressure from a strengthening right-wing... 2008-05-16


Bolivia

Our negative political outlook for Bolivia remains unchanged after the province of Santa Cruz voted in favour of increased autonomy from the central government. Social unrest remains... 2008-05-06


Ecuador

Having accused the armed forces of being infiltrated by Colombia and the US Central Intelligence Agency, President Rafael Correa fired the country's defence minister in early April,... 2008-04-10


Colombia

BMI View: As we have noted previously, we are becoming less optimistic of any progress on a free trade agreement (FTA) being ratified by the US Congress this year. The Bush administration... 2008-03-19