Andean
The Andean Monitor service provides subscribers with systematic political risk assessment, economic forecasts and business analysis for Bolivia, Colombia, Ecuador, Peru and Venezuela.
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Ecuador / Economy
BMI View: Foreign reserves finished 2011 at US$2.96bn, slightly up from 2010 levels, thanks to stronger energy prices and solid investment from China. However, by our calculations this figure actually represents a drop off in import cover, from a peak of 2.4 months back in 2009 to just 1.6 months by the end of 2011. This will be a worrying trend for the authorities, as the economy's...
2012-02-03Venezuela / Economy
BMI View: Venezuela's foreign reserves levels finished 2011 at US$27bn, a 7% fall from 2010 levels, despite oil prices being close to record highs. Not only was this the lowest nominal...
2012-02-03Ecuador / Economy
President Rafael Correa received a boost in late January, when members of a disbanded left-wing guerilla group handed him the sword of martyred reformer Eloy Alfaro on the centenary...
2012-02-03Country Risk Rating
Ecuador
President Rafael Correa received a boost in late January, when members of a disbanded left-wing guerilla group handed him the sword of martyred reformer Eloy Alfaro on the centenary...
2012-02-03Peru
Following President Ollanta Humala's election in 2011 we argued that following an initial honeymoon period, the problems of trying to please his diverse support base would become increasingly...
2012-02-03Venezuela
President Hugo Chávez appears to be gearing up for a crackdown on insecurity in the country in the run up to October's general election, following the announcement of several judicial...
2012-02-03Colombia
Gustavo Petro, a former leftist guerrilla who is now a prominent socialist politician, was sworn in as mayor of Bogotá on January 1. The post is considered to be the country's second...
2012-01-06Ecuador
BMI View: Foreign reserves finished 2011 at US$2.96bn, slightly up from 2010 levels, thanks to stronger energy prices and solid investment from China. However, by our calculations...
2012-02-03Venezuela
BMI View: Venezuela's foreign reserves levels finished 2011 at US$27bn, a 7% fall from 2010 levels, despite oil prices being close to record highs. Not only was this the lowest nominal...
2012-02-03Venezuela
BMI View: Preliminary figures released by the Banco Central de Reserva de Venezuela put inflation at 27.6% for 2011, slightly lower than our 29% estimate. We forecast inflation to remain...
2012-01-06Colombia
BMI View: Colombia's Q311 real GDP data, released in late December, exceeded expectations with growth coming in at 7.7% y-o-y. According to the central bank, domestic demand continues...
2012-01-06Ecuador
BMI View: Ecuadorean President Rafael Correa's chances of winning next year's presidential ballot - should he chose to stand for re-election - have been boosted by recent developments,...
2012-01-31Bolivia
The resignation of Bolivia's Defence and Interior ministers over the violent handling of a protest concerning the construction of a highway though an Amazon nature reserve highlights...
2011-09-28Colombia
Upticks in violence in the run-up to Colombia's regional elections highlight the ongoing potential for security issues to disrupt the country's positive economic trajectory over the...
2011-08-19Colombia
We see a bright outlook for the Colombian domestic politics over the medium term, following recent progress made in passing progressive social legislation and successes in counter-narcotic...
2011-06-14
