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The Andean Monitor service provides subscribers with systematic political risk assessment, economic forecasts and business analysis for Bolivia, Colombia, Ecuador, Peru and Venezuela.

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Latest Stories

Colombia / Economy

Colombian consumer price inflation ticked up to 2.2% year-on-year (y-o-y) in June, from 2.0% y-o-y in May. We expect demand-side price pressures to pick up over the coming months as private consumption improves, supported by near record low interest rates and declining unemployment. We expect supply-side price pressures to remain relatively subdued, as a weak external environment,... 2013-07-25


Ecuador / Political Risk

Ecuador's government has been embroiled in recent weeks by questions over the source of media leaks of email conversations between high-ranking officials. The emails, which included... 2013-07-25


Bolivia / Economy

Consumer price inflation ticked up slightly to 4.8% year-on-year (y-o-y) in June, from May's 4.7% y-o-y figure. We forecast that inflation will increase to 6.0% by year-end 2013, as... 2013-07-25


Country Risk Rating

Ecuador

Ecuador's government has been embroiled in recent weeks by questions over the source of media leaks of email conversations between high-ranking officials. The emails, which included... 2013-07-25


Bolivia

On July 3, the governments of Brazil and Mexico issued statements in support of Bolivian President Evo Morales, whose flight on July 2 from Moscow was diverted to Vienna after France,... 2013-07-25


Peru

The congressional appointment of one constitutional court judge and the country's ombudsman, as part of a larger set of appointments including five judges and three central bank board... 2013-07-25


Venezuela

Venezuela's Information Ministry stated that a delegation of the Chinese Development Bank will visit Caracas in August to discuss a loan to the joint China-Venezuela development fund.... 2013-07-25

Economy

Colombia

Colombian consumer price inflation ticked up to 2.2% year-on-year (y-o-y) in June, from 2.0% y-o-y in May. We expect demand-side price pressures to pick up over the coming months as... 2013-07-25


Bolivia

Consumer price inflation ticked up slightly to 4.8% year-on-year (y-o-y) in June, from May's 4.7% y-o-y figure. We forecast that inflation will increase to 6.0% by year-end 2013, as... 2013-07-25


Ecuador

Ecuador released its Q213 unemployment rate in July, which showed a rise to 4.9% from the historically low Q113 figure of 4.6%, in line with our expectations. Indeed, we believe that... 2013-07-25


Venezuela

Venezuela's foreign reserves contracted by 9.4% year-on-year in June to US$25.8bn. Since peaking at US$29.9bn in December 2012, reserves have been trending lower due to a deterioration... 2013-07-25

Political Risk

Peru

Peruvian President Ollanta Humala's approval ratings have declined significantly in recent months on the back of continued concerns over high levels of crime and rising social unrest.... 2013-07-15


Peru

Peruvian President Ollanta Humala's administration has come under pressure from domestic and international stakeholders in recent months on the back of issues such as rising crime,... 2013-05-16


Venezuela

We anticipate a new presidential election in Venezuela within months and believe Vice President Nicolás Maduro of the ruling Partido Socialista Unido de Venezuela will win.... 2013-02-21


Bolivia

The draft financial services law currently in Bolivia's legislature confirms our relatively negative view of the country's investment climate, and highlights the government priorities... 2013-02-19

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