Andean
The Andean Monitor service provides subscribers with systematic political risk assessment, economic forecasts and business analysis for Bolivia, Colombia, Ecuador, Peru and Venezuela. This includes online access to the latest analysis, a 24-month searchable archive, and PDF access to the monthly Monitor reports.
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Venezuela / Political Risk
With regional elections scheduled for November, we expect to see a rise in short-term political risk as President Hugo Chávez, under increased pressure from a strengthening right-wing opposition, seeks to rally round his supporters using nationalistic rhetoric. We see the progress made by the opposition parties, which have consolidated and become more moderate in an attempt to...
2008-05-16Bolivia / Economy
Real GDP in Bolivia expanded by 4.6% in 2007, smashing our 3.5% target, thanks to the continued acceleration of private consumption and higher than anticipated investment spending....
2008-05-14Venezuela / Economy
Venezuelan President Hugo Chávez has claimed that his government has lost contact with the Colombian paramilitary group the Fuerzas Armadas Revolucionarias de Colombia (FARC) after...
2008-05-12Business & Industry
Ecuador
Talks have been stalled since late March in the face of growing protests from the Confederation of Indigenous Nationalists of Ecuador (CONAIE). CONAIE's latest campaign targeted not...
2006-05-16Venezuela
Venezuelan President Hugo Chávez has claimed that his government has lost contact with the Colombian paramilitary group the Fuerzas Armadas Revolucionarias de Colombia (FARC) after...
2008-05-12Ecuador
With confrontational rhetoric continuing from President Rafael Correa, suggestions of a warming of relations with neighbouring Colombia following the incursion of Colombian troops...
2008-05-12Colombia
In a major coup for President Álvaro Uribe, Colombian authorities in the space of a week have killed Victor Manuel Munera, and captured his brother Miguel Angel Mejia Munera. With...
2008-05-12Bolivia
The Santa Cruz referendum on May 4 paved the way for further regional votes on the issue of autonomy. We now expect Beni, Pando and Tarija to follow suit in the coming months. President...
2008-05-09Bolivia
Real GDP in Bolivia expanded by 4.6% in 2007, smashing our 3.5% target, thanks to the continued acceleration of private consumption and higher than anticipated investment spending....
2008-05-14Venezuela
With oil prices hitting new highs on a weekly basis, we expect to see the Venezuelan current account perform strongly again in 2008. Equivalent to an impressive 10.5% of GDP, the...
2008-05-12Ecuador
With its currency the US dollar, Ecuador has no monetary policy options to help address inflationary pressures and cannot benefit from currency appreciation. Consumer price inflation...
2008-05-12Bolivia
Despite robust economic expansion of 4.6% seen in Bolivia in 2007, we believe that the deepening political divide poses a dangerous threat to the country's medium-term growth prospects....
2008-05-12Venezuela
With regional elections scheduled for November, we expect to see a rise in short-term political risk as President Hugo Chávez, under increased pressure from a strengthening right-wing...
2008-05-16Bolivia
Our negative political outlook for Bolivia remains unchanged after the province of Santa Cruz voted in favour of increased autonomy from the central government. Social unrest remains...
2008-05-06Ecuador
Having accused the armed forces of being infiltrated by Colombia and the US Central Intelligence Agency, President Rafael Correa fired the country's defence minister in early April,...
2008-04-10Colombia
BMI View: As we have noted previously, we are becoming less optimistic of any progress on a free trade agreement (FTA) being ratified by the US Congress this year. The Bush administration...
2008-03-19
