Second Round Nearly Assured

August 2007 | Ratings Update

With no candidate receiving much more than 20% support in public opinion polls, well shy of the 50% threshold necessary to win in the first round outright, our core view is that Guatemala's presidential election is headed to a second round. Most likely, the second-round ballot in November will pit the UNE's Álvaro Colom against the PP's Otto Pérez Molina. The country's political risk rating will remain slightly depressed until the election is

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