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Political Risk / Mexico

On the Campaign Trail

March 2006 | Political Risk Analysis

Five candidates have registered for the July vote, but the race will clearly be fought between just three: Andrés Manuel López Obrador (AMLO) for the PRD-PT-Convergencia alliance; Roberto Madrazo for the PRI-PVEM alliance and Felipe Calderón for the PAN. According to pollster GEA-ISA, AMLO continues to hold his lead in the polls on 41%, with an advantage of around nine percentage points on his main rivals - Calderón is second with 32%, followed by Madrazo with 26%. While beating López Obrador will be no mean feat, given that four months remain until the July 2 elections, and that over a

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