Honduras

The Honduran government continues its attempts to crack down on violence in the Bajo Aguán region, which has spiked in recent years on the back of the increasing presence of drug traffickers and rising tension between small-farmers and large-scale producers over land ownership. Though the government has decided against declaring a full-scale 'state of siege', it has initiated a policy of general disarmament, cancelling all gun permits. It has also indicated plans to increase the number of soldiers in the region. However, given that the government tried similar tactics in the department of Olancho last year with limited success, we do not expect a substantial reduction in violence, implying that the security situation in Honduras will remain poor.

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