Latin American market data, analysis and forecasts from Business Monitor International, the trusted source for business information and intelligence on global emerging markets.
Latin America Monitor (LAM) provides political risk analysis, economic forecasts and business information for trade & industry across the emerging Latin American economies of the Andean, Brazil, the Caribbean, Central America, Mexico and the Southern Cone. Latin America Monitor is available as six printed, regional, monthly newsletters. Subscribers also receive password access to a searchable 24-month archive of Latin America Monitor articles and data online plus the ability to download PDFs of current and back issues of Latin America Monitor.
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Economy / Peru
Peruvian President Ollanta Humala's administration has come under pressure from domestic and international stakeholders in recent months on the back of issues such as rising crime, government intervention in the economy and diplomatic relations. With the government on the defensive, and slowing growth likely present another challenge in the coming months, we expect the Humala administration's...
2013-05-16Economy / Ecuador
Ecuador's export performance remained sluggish in February, with total exports showing just 0.3% year-on-year (y-o-y) growth, and year-to-date exports down 3.1% from the first two months...
2013-05-02Economy / Venezuela
BMI View: Consumer price inflation in Venezuela ticked up from 22.8% year-on-year (y-o-y) in February to 25.1% y-o-y in March, fuelled by the effects of the February 8 currency devaluation....
2013-05-02Economy / Brazil
While Brazilian exports picked up in March to reach US$19.3bn, they still posted a 7.7% contraction in year-on-year (y-o-y) terms. This uptick brought the trade balance into positive territory for the first time this year at US$0.2bn.
2013-05-03Economy / Brazil
The Banco Central do Brasil (BCB) hiked the Selic target rate by 25 basis points (bps) to 7.50% at its April monetary policy meeting, the first adjustment to the benchmark interest...
2013-05-03Economy / Brazil
Recent news reports highlight that Brazilian President Dilma Rousseff is likely to make the first state visit to the US by a Brazilian leader in nearly 20 years by end-2013. The visit...
2013-05-03Economy / Guyana
Following strong real GDP growth in 2012, we have revised up our 2013 and 2014 growth forecasts for Guyana. While we believe the sugar industry will struggle in the coming years, greater upside potential for the mining, services and rice sectors will bolster economic activity, underpinning the recent upgrades to our forecasts.
2013-05-14Economy / Guyana
Broadly in line with our expectations, the Guyanese dollar has remained in a weaker trading range between GYD202.00/US$ and GYD214.00/US$ in recent months, bringing the year-to-date...
2013-05-06Economy / Barbados
We forecast Barbados real GDP will grow by 0.6% in 2013 after posting zero real growth in 2012. The Barbadian economy has remained sluggish since the 2008-2009 financial crisis, as...
2013-05-06Economy / Costa Rica
The most recent scandal affecting Costa Rican President Laura Chinchilla's administration underscores our long-held view that she is likely to remain highly unpopular in the coming months as she struggles to regain public confidence. We also see potential for this incident to negatively impact the chances of the ruling Partido Liberación Nacional and presidential frontrunner...
2013-05-17Economy / Costa Rica
In early May, US President Barack Obama visited Mexico and Central America, including a stopover in Costa Rica. A meeting between Obama and Central American business leaders in Costa...
2013-05-06Economy / Nicaragua
Nicaragua reported remittance growth of 11.3% in 2012, one of the highest in the region, largely on the back of a 37.4% increase in inflows from Costa Rica. Indeed, Costa Rica is now...
2013-05-06Economy / Mexico
Implementation of recently passed education reform is likely to continue to face substantial pushback in the coming months. On one hand, the teachers' union represents a somewhat less powerful adversary since the arrest of its previous head, Elba Esther Gordillo, for embezzling. On the other, we believe Juan Díaz de la Torre, the new leader, has far less control...
2013-05-03Economy / Mexico
Mexico recorded a robust US$1.7bn surplus in its goods trade account in March, bringing down the year-to-date deficit to US$1.1bn. While year-on-year (y-o-y) export growth contracted...
2013-05-03Economy / Mexico
Mexico's bi-weekly inflation reading continued to climb in H1 April, coming in at 4.7% year-on-year (y-o-y). While core prices remained stable at 3.0% y-o-y, non-core prices jumped...
2013-05-03Economy / Paraguay
Despite a widening central government fiscal deficit in 2012, we believe Paraguay's state finances will rebound in 2013. We expect to see stronger revenues from surging economic growth and more restrained spending, and note that international capital market appetite for Paraguayan debt confirms that the 2012 fiscal slippage is not cause for concern.
2013-05-23Economy / Argentina
We believe that price freezes implemented in Argentina this past February have done little to impact either price growth or public expectations about inflation over the next 12 months....
2013-05-20Economy / Uruguay
While we expect weakening goods and services balances to widen Uruguay's current account deficit, we believe the financial account will more than cover the shortfall. Indeed, Uruguay...
2013-05-15
