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Latin American market data, analysis and forecasts from Business Monitor International, the trusted source for business information and intelligence on global emerging markets.

Latin America Monitor (LAM) provides political risk analysis, economic forecasts and business information for trade & industry across the emerging Latin American economies of the Andean, Brazil, the Caribbean, Central America, Mexico and the Southern Cone. Latin America Monitor is available as six printed, regional, monthly newsletters. Subscribers also receive password access to a searchable 24-month archive of Latin America Monitor articles and data online plus the ability to download PDFs of current and back issues of Latin America Monitor.

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Latest Stories

Economy / Colombia

Colombian consumer price inflation ticked up to 2.2% year-on-year (y-o-y) in June, from 2.0% y-o-y in May. We expect demand-side price pressures to pick up over the coming months as private consumption improves, supported by near record low interest rates and declining unemployment. We expect supply-side price pressures to remain relatively subdued, as a weak external environment,... 2013-07-25

Political Risk / Ecuador

Ecuador's government has been embroiled in recent weeks by questions over the source of media leaks of email conversations between high-ranking officials. The emails, which included... 2013-07-25

Economy / Bolivia

Consumer price inflation ticked up slightly to 4.8% year-on-year (y-o-y) in June, from May's 4.7% y-o-y figure. We forecast that inflation will increase to 6.0% by year-end 2013, as... 2013-07-25


Economy / Brazil

With Brazilian President Dilma Rousseff's approval ratings having declined significantly in recent weeks following the outbreak of widespread protests in June, there has been increasing media speculation that former president Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva might replace Rousseff as the ruling Partido dos Trabalhadores' presidential candidate in 2014. Indeed, a recent poll... 2013-07-26

Economy / Brazil

Brazilian unemployment ticked up to 6.0% in May, reaching the highest level since April 2012. While the jobless rate generally trends higher into Q2 before falling in the latter half... 2013-07-26

Economy / Brazil

Brazil's foreign reserves contracted by 1.2% year-on-year in June, marking the first such contraction since May 2009. This comes as the central bank has intervened to support the real... 2013-07-25


Economy / Cuba

As part of its first special development zone, Cuba plans to construct a new container-handling port in Mariel Bay. The hope is that the facility will be able to attract significant foreign businesses, in addition to benefitting from an increase in regional transhipment volumes once the Panama Canal expansion is completed in 2015. However, BMI would caution that the port will face... 2013-09-25


We expect that tourism industry growth throughout the Caribbean, traditionally a key driver of economic activity, will continue to slow in the years ahead, keeping real GDP growth relatively... 2013-09-03

Economy / Jamaica

Jamaica's foreign minister, Arnold Nicholson, has come under pressure in recent weeks after a speech in which he stated that the island's manufacturers should cease the ongoing quarrel... 2013-07-01

Central America

Economy / Honduras

While there are only a few weeks left before Honduras's general election, we believe that the hotly-contested presidential race remains too close to call, as the top two candidates are polling within the margin of error and the percentage of undecided voters remains significant. In addition, with polling data suggesting such a close race, we believe that the legislative election... 2013-10-09

Economy / Honduras

While there are only a few weeks left before Honduras's general election, we believe that the hotly-contested presidential race remains too close to call, as the top two candidates... 2013-10-09

Economy / Costa Rica

Recently released data shows that Costa Rica's current account deficit came in at US$0.5bn in Q113 on the back of substantial trade and income account shortfalls. Indeed, in line with... 2013-07-01


Economy / Mexico

Mexico's unemployment rate continues to struggle in pushing lower. As of May 2012, it was 4.9%, slightly below the 5.0% recorded the month prior. However in seasonally adjusted terms the rate held steady at 5.1%. This is well above the country's pre-crisis levels, with the unemployment rate having averaged 3.2% between 2000 and 2007. In H213, as the manufacturing sector begins to... 2013-06-28

Economy / Mexico

In recent months the issue of corruption by governmental officials has become increasingly prominent. We believe that this is due to two factors. First, several high profile incidents... 2013-06-28

Economy / Mexico

On May 23, the attorney general for the state of Tabasco reported that authorities have confiscated MXN89mn, which is believed to have been embezzled by the former Partido Revolucionario... 2013-05-31

Southern Cone

Economy / Argentina

Uruguay's decision to increase production at a pulp mill on the Uruguay River has re-ignited a long-running dispute with Argentina, but we do not anticipate that this episode will put serious strain on the countries' bilateral relationship. We believe the change being proposed is relatively minor and that much of Argentina's objection is political in nature and may fade after the... 2013-10-09

Economy / Chile

Annual talks between Chilean and Peruvian military officials were held in late July amid reports of increased military activity on both sides of the countries' shared border. Media... 2013-07-25

Economy / Chile

The Banco Central de Chile (BCC) held its benchmark policy rate at 5.00% at its monthly meeting in July, keeping the rate unchanged since January 2012. That said, we maintain our long-held... 2013-07-25