Central America

Monthly political risk, economic forecasts and business environment analysis on each country market

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Central America

Latest Central America Analysis

Economic Analysis - Severe Weather To Continue Tempering Growth - NOV 2014

Stronger US growth will act as a tailwind for El Salvador's economy in the coming quarters, boosting remittance inflows and demand for the country's manufactured goods. Even still, real GDP growth will remain tepid, at 1.5% in 2014 and 2.0% in 2015, as the fallout from the El Niño weather pattern continues to act as a drag on the economy's performance.

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Risk Summary - Costa Rica - NOV 2014

Costa Rica's Short-Term Political Risk Rating held steady at 69.4 this month, bolstered by strong scores in the 'Policy Continuity' and 'Security/External Threats' components. We expect that the...

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Risk Summary - Guatemala - NOV 2014

Guatemala retains a relatively low Short-Term Political Risk Rating (STPRR) of 47.5, thanks to a particularly weak score in the 'policymaking process' component. The government struggles to impose...

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Risk Summary - Nicaragua - NOV 2014

We have revised down Nicaragua's Short-Term Political Risk Rating to 54.4 this month, after signs that the canal project is beginning to engender local opposition. Nicaragua's score in our STPRRs...

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Risk Summary - Honduras - NOV 2014

Honduras scores last among the 17 Latin American countries for which we compile Short-Term Political Risk Ratings. The country's score is weighed down by its recent propensity toward political...

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