Brazil

Monthly political risk, economic forecasts and business environment analysis

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Brazil

Latest Brazil Analysis

Risk Summary - Brazil - NOV 2014

The Brazilian ethanol sector would benefit from a win by Partido Socialista Brasileiro candidate Marina Silva in the country's upcoming presidential election. Latest polling data shows that Silva is virtually tied with President Dilma Rousseff of the Partido dos Trabalhadores in both the first and second rounds.

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Data Release - Brazil - NOV 2014

Brazil's labour market remains tight despite a further economic slowdown in recent months. Unemployment came in at 5.0% in August - a record low for that month. However, with job creation slowing...

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Risk Summary - Brazil - NOV 2014

Brazil's Short-Term Political Risk Rating (STPRR) holds steady at 69.6, and we expect it to remain stable in the coming months. Brazil's October 5 presidential election will be tightly contested...

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Data Release - Brazil - OCT 2014

Moderating IPCA 15 price growth supports our view that headline inflation in Brazil will top out in Q314 and head lower into 2015. We forecast average inflation of 6.2% year-on-year (y-o-y) in 2014...

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Economic Analysis - Domestic And External Headwinds To Weigh On Growth - OCT 2014

A less favourable external environment, combined with a weak domestic business environment, will constrain Brazilian growth in the coming quarters. Moreover, we believe that President Dilma Rousseff will be unable to make the substantial reforms necessary to boost productivity and investment in a second term, underpinning our subdued multi-year growth outlook.

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Risk Summary - Brazil - OCT 2014

The rise of the new Partido Socialista Brasileiro (PSB) candidate Marina Silva in recent weeks presents risks to our view that President Dilma Rousseff will win a second term in the October preside...

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Risk Summary - Brazil - OCT 2014

Brazil scores 69.6 in our Short-Term Political Risk Ratings (STPRR), and we expect the country's score will remain stable in the coming months. Brazil's October 2014 presidential election is set to...

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