Brazil

Monthly political risk, economic forecasts and business environment analysis

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Brazil

Latest Brazil Analysis

Economic Analysis - Domestic And External Headwinds To Weigh On Growth - OCT 2014

A less favourable external environment, combined with a weak domestic business environment, will constrain Brazilian growth in the coming quarters. Moreover, we believe that President Dilma Rousseff will be unable to make the substantial reforms necessary to boost productivity and investment in a second term, underpinning our subdued multi-year growth outlook.

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Risk Summary - Brazil - OCT 2014

The rise of the new Partido Socialista Brasileiro (PSB) candidate Marina Silva in recent weeks presents risks to our view that President Dilma Rousseff will win a second term in the October preside...

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Risk Summary - Brazil - OCT 2014

Brazil scores 69.6 in our Short-Term Political Risk Ratings (STPRR), and we expect the country's score will remain stable in the coming months. Brazil's October 2014 presidential election is set to...

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Data Release - Brazil - OCT 2014

Moderating IPCA 15 price growth supports our view that headline inflation in Brazil will top out in Q314 and head lower into 2015. We forecast average inflation of 6.2% year-on-year (y-o-y) in 2014...

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Data Release - Brazil - SEPT 2014

Most recent high frequency data suggests that Brazilian industrial production will be unable to sustain the modest recovery begun in 2013, dampening our outlook on the sector. In addition to weak...

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Risk Summary - Brazil - SEPT 2014

Investment into healthcare will remain one of the Brazilian government's tools to head off significant social instability and help bolster support for President Dilma Rousseff's October re-election bid. With USD1,024 per capita annual healthcare spending, the Brazilian healthcare sector has surpassed many developing countries in terms of healthcare standards and service coverage.

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Risk Summary - Brazil - SEPT 2014

Brazil's Short-Term Political Risk Rating held steady at 69.6 this month, and we expect it will remain relatively stable in the coming months. Protests related to the FIFA World Cup have remained...

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