The Brazilian ethanol sector would benefit from a win by Partido Socialista Brasileiro candidate Marina Silva in the country's upcoming presidential election. Latest polling data shows that Silva is virtually tied with President Dilma Rousseff of the Partido dos Trabalhadores in both the first and second rounds.
A less favourable external environment, combined with a weak domestic business environment, will constrain Brazilian growth in the coming quarters. Moreover, we believe that President Dilma Rousseff will be unable to make the substantial reforms necessary to boost productivity and investment in a second term, underpinning our subdued multi-year growth outlook.
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