Political Risk Analysis

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Risk Summary - Nicaragua - MAR 2015

Nicaragua's Short-Term Political Risk Rating held steady at 54.4 this month. While Nicaragua benefits from a stronger security environment than many of its Central American peers, the country's...

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Economic Analysis - Key Risks For 2015 - MAR 2015

Political risk will be the key driver of uncertainty in Latin America in the coming year, with the majority of our risk scenarios dependent on government decision-making rather than economic constr...

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Risk Summary - El Salvador - JAN 2015

El Salvador's Short-Term Political Risk Rating (STPRR) held steady at 49.6 this month. The country's score is bolstered by signs that President Salvador Sánchez Cerén is committed to broad policy continuity, following the intra-party transfer of the presidency. However, El Salvador continues to perform poorly in the 'social stability' and 'external threats' categories, reflecting...

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Risk Summary - Honduras - JAN 2015

Honduras scores last among the 17 Latin American countries for which we compile Short-Term Political Risk Ratings. The country's score is weighed down by its recent propensity toward political...

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Risk Summary - Costa Rica - JAN 2015

Costa Rica's Short-Term Political Risk Index score held steady at 69.4 this month, bolstered by strong scores in the 'Policy Continuity' and 'Security/External Threats' components. We expect that...

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Risk Summary - Guatemala - DEC 2014

Guatemala retains a relatively low Short-Term Political Risk Rating (STPRR) of 47.5, thanks to a particularly weak score in the 'policymaking process' component. The government struggles to impose...

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Risk Summary - Costa Rica - DEC 2014

Costa Rica's Short-Term Political Risk Index held steady at 69.4 this month, bolstered by strong scores in the 'Policy Continuity' and 'Security/External Threats' components. We expect that the...

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Risk Summary - Panama - DEC 2014

Panama's Short-Term Political Risk Index remains steady at 71.9 this month. Panama's rating is bolstered by high scores in the 'policy continuity' and 'security/external threats' components. Howeve...

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