January consumer price inflation in Barbados came in at 1.3% year-on-year (y-o-y), an uptick from 1.1% y-o-y reported in December, but well below the average inflation rate of 1.8% y-o-y in 2013. We believe anaemic economic growth and relatively low commodity inflation this year will keep price growth in Barbados moderate, with risks to our 2.0% y-o-y end-2014 inflation forecast to the downsi...
In line with our view for a slight increase in tourist arrivals this year, preliminary estimates indicate that arrivals to Barbados increased by 3.8% in year-on-year terms in January, the first such increase in 21 months. We believe a slight uptick in arrivals this year will help narrow the current account deficit, but we do not think it will be sufficient to prevent another real GDP contractio...
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