Ecuador Analysis

Pages

Risk Summary - Ecuador - JULY 2014

President Rafael Correa announced in late May that he would encourage his Alianza PAIS political party, which holds a majority of seats in the national assembly, to pursue a constitutional amendmen...

Read article

Risk Summary - Ecuador - JUNE 2014

The government of Ecuador announced in April that it has ordered the 20 employees of the US Department of Defence stationed at the US embassy in Quito to leave the country by the end of the month. ...

Read article

Risk Summary - Ecuador - MAY 2014

On March 24, Ecuador's Foreign Minister, Ricardo Patiño, rejected the Inter-American Commission on Human Rights' petition that the government suspend a guilty verdict for defaming President...

Read article

Macroeconomic Forecasts - Ecuador - MAY 2014

Consumer price inflation in Ecuador averaged 2.9% year-on-year (y-o-y) in the first two months of 2014, above average inflation of 2.7% y-o-y in 2013. We forecast inflation to average 3.1% y-o-y in...

Read article

Economic Analysis - Stronger Consumption Outlook Ahead - MAY 2014

We have revised up our forecast for real private consumption in Ecuador in 2014, which has seen our forecast for real GDP growth rise to 4.3%, from 4.0% previously, implying an acceleration from estimated growth of 3.8% in 2013. Indeed, we believe that low unemployment and stronger commercial bank lending will feed through to an uptick in household spending.

READ FULL ARTICLE

Pages