Colombia faces more challenging balance of payments dynamics in the years ahead, with falling oil prices and sluggish production to weigh on both exports and investment. While the impact will be somewhat mitigated by rising investment into other sectors, as well as Colombia's sizeable stock of foreign reserves, we note that the risks lie to the downside.
Colombia's Short-Term Political Risk Ratings (STPRR) score of 67.3 remains unchanged from last month, ranking seventh out of 17 Latin American countries scored. Colombia's STPRR score is bolstered by a high degree of policy continuity, which has been reinforced by the recent re-election of President Juan Manuel Santos. Santos' re-election also increases the likelihood of a peace agreement with...
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