Bolivia Analysis

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Economic Analysis - Public Policy To Focus On Diversifying Economy - AUG 2014

Bolivia's stock of foreign reserves, which has swelled in recent years, will trend down in the coming quarters. A significant driver of this development will be the central government's programme to use reserves to finance industrialisation projects, in an effort to diversify the economy away from a growing reliance on the energy sector.

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Risk Summary - Bolivia - JULY 2014

President Evo Morales signed a contract with Sports Boys Warnes in May, a professional football team based in Warnes, a city in the department of Santa Cruz, that plays in the country's premier league. Morales will earn Bolivia's minimum wage of USD213 per month, once the season commences in August. While it is unlikely that the president will play in a league game, the signing may help his...

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Macroeconomic Forecasts - Bolivia - MAY 2014

Bolivia's reserves position came in at US$14.4bn in December (the last month for which data are available), or 50.0% of GDP. We expect a pull-back in government measures to put downside pressure on...

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Risk Summary - Bolivia - MAY 2014

The Bolivian government initiated a legal suit against Chile at the International Court of Justice in late March 2013 after direct negotiations failed to grant Bolivia access to the South Pacific...

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Macroeconomic Forecasts - Bolivia - APR 2014

Consumer price inflation in Bolivia fell to 6.1% year-on-year (y-o-y) in January, down from 6.5% y-o-y in December. We believe that tighter monetary policy, combined with limited upside for food...

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Risk Summary - Bolivia - APR 2014

Recent polling data have reaffirmed our view that Bolivian President Evo Morales is highly likely to be re-elected to a third term in general elections set for October 5th of this year. Indeed, a...

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Macroeconomic Forecasts - Bolivia - MAR 2014

Consumer price inflation in Bolivia ended 2013 at 6.4% year-on-year. We believe that tighter monetary policy, combined with limited upside for food prices, will help to tether average inflation in...

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