Comprehensive country-by-country macroeconomic analysis, risk appraisals, latest market data and forecasts for Latin America

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Key stories from this month's issue...

Economic Analysis - Structurally Weaker Oil Prices To Weigh On Balance Of Payments Dynamics - JAN 2015

Andean November 2014 / Colombia / Economy

Colombia faces more challenging balance of payments dynamics in the years ahead, with falling oil prices and sluggish production to weigh on both exports and investment. While the impact will be somewhat mitigated by rising investment into other sectors, as well as Colombia's sizeable stock of foreign reserves, we note that the risks lie to the downside.

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Risk Summary - Brazil - DEC 2014

Brazil October 2014 / Brazil / Economy

Planned subsidy reform will help Brazilian national oil company Petrobras address rising pressures on its balance sheet. Brazil's fuel subsidies, which are paid for by Petrobras, have proved unsustainable, driving up the company's heavy debt burden.

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Macroeconomic Forecasts - Barbados - JAN 2015

Caribbean November 2014 / Barbados / Economy

Macroeconomic data and forecasts

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Risk Summary - El Salvador - JAN 2015

Central America November 2014 / El Salvador / Economy

El Salvador's Short-Term Political Risk Rating (STPRR) held steady at 49.6 this month. The country's score is bolstered by signs that President Salvador Sánchez Cerén is committed to broad policy continuity, following the intra-party transfer of the presidency. However, El Salvador continues to perform poorly in the 'social stability' and 'external threats' categories, reflecting high rates of underemployment, a substantial impoverished population and high incidence of drug-trafficking and gang-related violence.

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Political Risk Analysis - Ruling PRI To Lose Support In Midterms Due To Iguala Crisis - JAN 2015

Mexico November 2014 / Mexico / Economy

Mexican President Enrique Peña Nieto's approval rating will continue to fall in the coming months, as the disappearance of 43 students in Iguala heightens concerns over security and corruption. This will have negative implications for the ruling Partido Institucional Revolucionario in the June 2015 mid-term elections, increasing the odds of a strong result by the main centre-right opposition party, the Partido Acción Nacional.

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Macroeconomic Forecasts - Paraguay - JAN 2015

Southern Cone November 2014 / Paraguay / Economy

Paraguay Macroeconomic Forecasts

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