Latin America Monitor

Comprehensive country-by-country macroeconomic analysis, risk appraisals, latest market data and forecasts for Latin America

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Key stories from this month's issue...

Economic Analysis - Easing Cycle To Continue In 2018 - MAR 2018

Andean February 2018 / Colombia / Economy

Decelerating inflation and moderate economic growth will prompt Colombia's BanRep to continue its monetary easing cycle in 2018. A change to the bank's meeting schedule may also provide greater monetary policy predictability this year.

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Currency Forecast - BRL: Neutral Near-Term, Weakening Long-Term - MAR 2018

Brazil February 2018 / Brazil / Economy

The Brazilian real will likely trade sideways over the coming quarters, as a weakening real yield differential with the US is likely to be offset by near-term commodity price strength and improving activity growth. However, volatile sentiment ahead of the general election will create substantial downside risks.

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Macroeconomic Forecasts - Jamaica - MAR 2018

Caribbean February 2018 / Jamaica / Economy

Macroeconomic forecasts

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Macroeconomic Forecasts - Guatemala - MAR 2018

Central America February 2018 / Guatemala / Economy

Macroeconomic Forecasts

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Currency Forecast - MXN: Strong Fundamentals, But Risks Abound - MAR 2018

Mexico February 2018 / Mexico / Economy

High real yields and significant undervaluation in real effective exchange rate terms underpin our relatively constructive outlook on the Mexican peso. Nevertheless, downside risks to this view stemming from the NAFTA renegotiation and July presidential election remain considerable.

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Economic Analysis - Cautious Rate Cuts Amid Looser Inflation Targets - MAR 2018

Southern Cone February 2018 / Argentina / Economy

The Banco Central de la Rep?blica Argentina (BCRA) will cut interest rates cautiously over the coming year, aiming to ensure disinflation remains on track. Looser inflation targets are unlikely to alter its decisions, though they pose downside risks to market participants' expectations.

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