Latin America Monitor

Comprehensive country-by-country macroeconomic analysis, risk appraisals, latest market data and forecasts for Latin America

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Key stories from this month's issue...

Macroeconomic Forecasts - Bolivia - OCT 2017

Andean August 2017 / Bolivia / Economy

Macroeconomic Forecasts

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Industry Trend Analysis - Ultra-Deepwater Will Dominate Output - OCT 2017

Brazil August 2017 / Brazil / Industry

Ultra-deepwater deposits will drive upstream growth in Brazil over the next decade. Given large operators' heightened focus on offshore acreage, we expect ultra-deepwater crude will comprise the bulk of domestic output before 2019.

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Economic Analysis - Headwinds Set To Batter External Accounts - OCT 2017

Caribbean August 2017 / Cuba / Economy

Falling oil shipments from Venezuela and a deterioration in relations with the US will see Cuba's external accounts deteriorate in the coming years. Shortages of hard currency will strain the island's ability to import needed goods moving forward.

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Economic Analysis - Corruption Allegations To Undermine Investment - OCT 2017

Central America August 2017 / Guatemala / Economy

Economic activity in Guatemala will decelerate in 2017 as corruption allegations undermine business confidence and halt infrastructure projects. However, robust remittance inflows will underpin private consumption and support a modest growth acceleration in 2018.

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Economic Analysis - NAFTA Renegotiation: Fears Likely Overblown - OCT 2017

Mexico August 2017 / Mexico / Economy

Key provisions of the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) will likely remain intact following a renegotiation slated for August. While we highlight several potential flashpoints, the objectives laid out by the US prior to the negotiation will be widely acceptable to Mexican officials.

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Economic Analysis - External Accounts Support Growth Outlook - OCT 2017

Southern Cone August 2017 / Argentina / Economy

Argentina's external liabilities will grow as the economy continues to open to foreign trade and investment flows. An expanding export base, rising capital goods imports and direct investment support a robust growth outlook that will ensure external account stability.

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