Latin America Monitor

Comprehensive country-by-country macroeconomic analysis, risk appraisals, latest market data and forecasts for Latin America

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Key stories from this month's issue...

Macroeconomic Forecasts - Colombia - AUG 2016

Andean June 2016 / Colombia / Economy

Macroeconomic Forecasts

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Economic Analysis - Economy Bottoming, But No Imminent Recovery - AUG 2016

Brazil June 2016 / Brazil / Economy

Brazilian economic activity is likely near a bottom, with latest data showing that the pace of contraction is lessening. Nevertheless, any economic recovery will be fragile and hinge on the government's ability to enact economic reforms, as well as ongoing corruption investigations.

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Economic Analysis - Debt Restructuring Framework Moving Closer, But Not Yet Out Of The Woods - AUG 2016

Caribbean June 2016 / Puerto Rico / Economy

The US House of Representatives' approval of debt restructuring legislation for Puerto Rico bodes well for the establishment of a restructuring framework prior to a substantial bond payment on July 1. That said, we believe that partial payment of these obligations is increasingly likely.

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Economic Analysis - Security And Drought Will Weigh On Growth - AUG 2016

Central America June 2016 / Guatemala / Economy

Real GDP in Guatemala will decelerate in the coming quarters, the result of an uptick in violent crime, emigration, and adverse weather conditions. As headwinds gradually diminish over the coming years, growth will pick back up, but remain below recent trends.

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Macroeconomic Forecasts - Mexico - AUG 2016

Mexico June 2016 / Mexico / Economy

Macro Forecast Table

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Political Risk Analysis - Macri Will Shift Focus To Business Environment Improvements - AUG 2016

Southern Cone June 2016 / Argentina / Economy

Argentine President Mauricio Macri's reforms will turn toward encouraging investment and managing the impact of the country's economic adjustment on consumers in the coming months. Macri will maintain the political initiative and continue to deliver business environment improvements, although concerted political opposition could weaken efforts to rein in expenditures.

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