Latin America Monitor

Comprehensive country-by-country macroeconomic analysis, risk appraisals, latest market data and forecasts for Latin America

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Key stories from this month's issue...

Economic Analysis - Stabilising Oil Prices & Capital Inflows Will Drive Recovery - SEPT 2016

Andean July 2016 / Colombia / Economy

Economic activity growth will begin to trend higher in Colombia over the coming quarters, driven by stabilising oil prices and capital inflows. Although public and private consumption will remain under pressure, the economy will stage a modest recovery in 2017.

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Industry Forecast - Food - Brazil - Q3 2016 - SEPT 2016

Brazil July 2016 / Brazil / Industry

The food industry will see a contraction in real terms over 2016 as consumers reduce expenditure on discretionary items. Staple foods and value segments will remain resilient over this period, particularly pasta products and canned foods. Beyond 2016, we will see a recovery in industry growth as the economy returns to positive growth.

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Macroeconomic Forecasts - Puerto Rico - SEPT 2016

Caribbean July 2016 / Puerto Rico / Economy

Macroeconomic forecasts

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Macroeconomic Forecasts - Guatemala - SEPT 2016

Central America July 2016 / Guatemala / Economy

Macroeconomic Forecasts

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Industry Forecast - Food - Mexico - Q3 2016 - SEPT 2016

Mexico July 2016 / Mexico / Industry

We maintain our positive long-term outlook for the Mexican food sector despite ongoing headwinds in consumer spending, amid rising incomes and favourable demographic dynamics. The expansion of the upper-middle class will drive premiumisation in the industry.

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Political Risk Analysis - FpV-Linked Corruption Scandal Supports Macri's Agenda - SEPT 2016

Southern Cone July 2016 / Argentina / Economy

Argentine President Mauricio Macri will benefit from an unfolding corruption scandal implicating senior members of former President Cristina Kirchner's Frente Para la Victoria (FpV). With a number of defections shrinking the FpV legislative bloc, Macri will continue to pass key legislation over the coming months.

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